Trump : strategist or lunatic?

Hi All,

 So people have asked me to comment on Trump's speech to the UN and the threats to "utterly destroy" north Korea (if said country attacked the US ).  

I can only say that the guy is either a strategic genius in trying to make himself look utterly unpredictable and therefore somehow formidable....

Or he has a compulsive need for confrontation and insulting in some kind of "willy waving contest" to make himself look like one of the strong men (e.g.  Putin ).

Or he is mad as in insane. 

Whatever his intent it seems the north Korean leadership seems to think it is all bluff. Indeed they only need to look at Steve Bannon's analysis:

’Until somebody solves the part of the equation that shows me that ten million people in Seoul don’t die in the first 30 minutes from conventional weapons, I don’t know what you’re talking about, there’s no military solution here, they got us.’”

So working on the assumption Trump is acting in an irrational , but  rational way , it is highly unlikely Trump will do anything military wise.  The North Koreans themselves have one aim and that's regime survival (one of the reasons they wanted nukes in the first place, because of the neocon regime changes in Libya, Iraq etc). 

So from a world peace perspective that's good. From a Donald Trump perspective it isn't. He likes to win (whatever his actual mental state). He has basically backed himself into a corner with his rhetoric, bearing in mind Bannon's astute observations. So  this means and I think Trump is one who will want some big bad, but easy military victory somewhere , maybe sometime before the next election. Who could that be . Iran maybe ?  Or is that too difficult? Why not the UK or Canada....